本文提出了一个基于可能性计算模型的定量风险评估方法，设计并实现了一个计算机辅助评估系统,它利用业务事务价值和可能性计算模型来计算资产的风险值，有效提高了风险评估过程的自动化水平和准确性。关键词：可能性计算模型；风险评估；业务事务价值；计算机辅助系统Abstract：Based on the likelihood calculate model,the paper gives a method of quantitative risk assessment. Then design and implement a computer aided system for risk assessment, which uses business transaction and a likelihood calculate model to determine risk values of assets. This system efficiently improves the automation of risk assessment process.Keywords：likelihood calculate model ;risk assessment; business transaction; Computer-Aided System
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